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Yields slipped a touch, as stocks posted modest gains, and the dollar pulled back fairly broadly in N.Y. trade on Tuesday, despite an upgraded Q3 GDP revision. Pre-Thanksgiving position squaring appeared to be the driving force, though a weaker consumer confidence print weighed on the greenback as well. EUR-USD found support into 1.2400, and later posted gains over 1.2480. USD-JPY meanwhile, peaked near 118.30 after the GDP data, eventually falling to lows of 117.72.
This morning the BEA released its revised estimate of Q3 GDP, including the alternate measure of Gross Domestic Income, and also corporate profits.
This was the last of three reports that offer us a very good look into the strength of the US economy in 2015. First came October housing permits,which gave us a new post-recession high -- the first such high in a year. The second was real retail sales, which, on a per capita basis, missed setting a new high by less than 0.1%.
Consolidation prevailed among the dollar majors. EUR-USD oscillated in the low-to-mid 1.24s, trading firmer following an unexpected improvement in French business confidence to 94 in November from 91. In conjunction with the improvements in the German ZEW and Ifo readings, the data show that the situation is not quite as gloomy as the Eurozone November PMI readings of last week suggested. ECB member Noyer still said that the central bank must be prepared to do more if necessary.
The dollar has seen a mixed performance, gaining ground against an underperforming Aussie while losing some ground against the yen, and making fractional gains versus the euro and sterling. The BoJ minutes to November 19 policy decision to boost stimulus substantially revealed mixed views on further stimulus, though many saw the risk of a delay in the end of a deflationary mind-set. USD-JPY dipped to a low of 117.69, leaving an intraday peak at 118.58. The dip swings Monday's low at 117.35 back into scope. The pair is consolidating after making a seven-year peak at 118.97 last Friday.
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