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The week before this, it seemed as though the bottom was beginning to drop out of the financial markets. Equities, which are the most visible financial market, sold off sharply and bonds rallied. News stories of the sell-off increased, adding to the overall intensity. In contrast, this week we saw a rebound in the equity markets and a far more muted financial press. But this latest rally could be considered more technical than fundamental, as traders simply picked-up what they perceived to be under-valued shares. There was also a lac
FX trade was relatively quiet in N.Y. on Friday, with the dollar losing ground to the European majors, while posting modest gains against the yen and the CAD. The only data point was new home sales, which were revised down in August, and barely improved in September from there. Despite the Ebola scare in NYC, Wall Street managed modest gains, while Treasury yields were fairly steady through the session. EUR-USD ranged between 1.2545-95, ending about mid-range, while USD-JPY traversed a 107,70-108.17 band, ending up just over 108.00.
Reports of a first Ebola case in New York city spooked equity markets and underpinned core sovereign bond prices but had limited evident impact in currency markets. EUR-USD was trading at near net unchanged levels on the day, at 1.2648 bid in early PM trade in Europe. The euro had failed to sustain an early-session run to 1.2665 following German consumer confidence data, which made it two days in a row that the Eurozone has seen upside data surprises.
EUR-USD has lifted on German confidence data, which provided an unexpected upside surprise out of the Eurozone for a second day in a row following yesterday's jump in PMI data. Rare good news for the euro, which has breached the Asia high at 1.2661 against the dollar after opening in London at 1.2654. Resistance is marked at 1.2690 (20-day moving average) and 1.2739 (Wednesday's peak). The euro has also perked up against sterling and the yen. Elsewhere, the dollar has generally consolidated at moderately lower levels after extending gains yesterday after a firm U.S.
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