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In the rear view mirror, Q2 GDP was reported at +2.3%, in line with expectations. Median wages and benefits just barely increased. Monthly data for July started out with the best Chicago PMI reading in 6 months. Monthly data for June included positive durable goods, positive house prices, but negative pending home sales. Both measures of consumer confidence were down, one (Michigan) slightly, the other (Conference Board) significantly.
The dollar fell rather sharply following weaker than expected Q2 ECI data, though later managed to recover some ground on the back of an improved Chicago PMI, and pre-weekend short covering. EUR-USD started the session near 1.0960, and made its way to 1.1114 highs by mid-morning. USD-JPY fell from 124.35 to a low of 123.52 before finding support. USD-CAD popped to 1.3099 highs after weak May GDP data, though eased back to 1.2940 before heading over 1.3060. Cable meanwhile, spiked from 1.5570 to 1.5678 highs.
Hale Stewart is a former bond broker who has been writing about economics and financial markets since 2006 on the Bonddad Blog. He is also a tax attorney with a domestic and international practice while also forming and managing captive insurance companies for US companies. You can follow him on twitter at:@captivelawyer
The euro was bid following a rise in Eurozone core CPI. EUR-USD logged new intraday highs above 1.0980, driven in part by a strong bid in EUR-JPY, which gained some 80 pips since the London market open. The euro's bid was sparked by a jump in core Eurozone CPI to 1.0% y/y in July data, up from 0.8% y/y, which offset a benign headline HICP rate of 0.2% and an unexpected dip in German retail sales. USD-JPY re-established itself above 124.00 after dipping to a 123.90 low during Tokyo trade.
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