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The dollar extended post-FOMC gains before recouping some lost ground. EUR-USD made a three week low of 1.2555 before recovering. The high so far has been 1.2593, which was seen following upside Eurozone data surprises, which still leaves the euro about 45 pips down on yesterday's New York closing level. Eurozone ESI economic confidence unexpectedly rose to a reading of 100.7 in October from September's 99.9, and German jobs data were also above forecasts. USD-JPY corrected to the 109.00 area after earlier extending to fresh three-week highs above 109.30.
The dollar extended post-FOMC gains in pre-European trade in Asia. The Fed, to recap, wound down QE3 on schedule and maintained the "considerable time" reference for low rates, but acknowledged the improvement in the labour market -- a mix that has left the markets with an upbeat but slightly more hawkish impression of the Fed's view. EUR-USD clocked a three-week low of 1.2586, which is some 150 pips below pre-FOMC announcement levels to bring the Oct-3 two-year low at 1.2500 back into scope.
The dollar spent the morning session on a softer footing, as the market perhaps geared itself toward a more dovish FOMC announcement. EUR-USD made its way to highs near 1.2770, after the rolling off of noted 1.2650 option expiries at 10:00 EDT. USD-JPY eased back from 108.10, though held the 108 mark into the Fed. The dollar firmed up some into the announcement, though spiked sharply higher after the FOMC announcement, as QE was put to bed, as-expected, and as the Fed's labor and inflations outlooks were upgraded.
I wasn't able to get to this over the weekend, but here are the high frequency indicators for last week.
Monthly data for September included a big increase in the index of leading economic indicators. There was a slight increase in consumer prices. The YoY comparison in existing home sales improved, but was still negative. New home sales were essentially unchanged from last month's much revised lower number.
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